Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.080661 0.093238 0.107123 0.123588 0.142583 0.163813 0.189350
2025-12-28 0.062750 0.080161 0.101353 0.129051 0.164314 0.207743 0.265356
2026-01-04 0.052318 0.071720 0.097022 0.132440 0.180783 0.244538 0.335168
2026-01-11 0.045136 0.065534 0.093671 0.135322 0.195486 0.279379 0.405546
2026-01-18 0.039297 0.059966 0.089893 0.136393 0.206936 0.310158 0.473150
2026-01-25 0.034025 0.054282 0.084914 0.134615 0.213392 0.333740 0.532242
2026-02-01 0.029202 0.048517 0.078905 0.130199 0.214821 0.349283 0.580073
2026-02-08 0.026541 0.045785 0.077191 0.132180 0.226319 0.381450 0.657713
2026-02-15 0.024027 0.042932 0.074858 0.132707 0.235233 0.410036 0.732253
2026-02-22 0.022074 0.040771 0.073383 0.134410 0.246159 0.442894 0.817517
2026-03-01 0.019717 0.037579 0.069705 0.131693 0.248772 0.461257 0.878543
2026-03-08 0.017756 0.034873 0.066568 0.129538 0.252037 0.480902 0.943770
2026-03-15 0.016433 0.033255 0.065324 0.130925 0.262359 0.515129 1.041578
2026-03-22 0.015770 0.032856 0.066367 0.136889 0.282300 0.569937 1.186380
2026-03-29 0.014903 0.031932 0.066256 0.140490 0.297839 0.617646 1.322153
2026-04-05 0.014062 0.030957 0.065917 0.143547 0.312537 0.665102 1.462661
2026-04-12 0.013124 0.029656 0.064748 0.144683 0.323232 0.705273 1.591987
2026-04-19 0.012022 0.027863 0.062327 0.142796 0.327082 0.731176 1.692702
2026-04-26 0.010815 0.025690 0.058838 0.138113 0.324117 0.741793 1.759943
2026-05-03 0.010233 0.024897 0.058341 0.140213 0.336890 0.788856 1.916772
2026-05-10 0.009593 0.023890 0.057245 0.140772 0.346081 0.828614 2.060663
2026-05-17 0.009090 0.023154 0.056699 0.142579 0.358437 0.876991 2.230818
2026-05-24 0.008344 0.021731 0.054354 0.139697 0.358934 0.896987 2.332605